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Heavens Above ISS Predictions

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15 years 9 months ago #71916 by Johnm
Heavens Above ISS Predictions was created by Johnm
On July 23rd I printed off a list predictions for ISS passes visible from Cork. Becuase of cloud cover I only managed to see 1 pass until last night - 26th. The prediction was for 22:14 with a magnitude of -2.4. I waited, and waited but no sign of ISS until 22:21 when it appeared.
I checked the time again and confirmed the prediction of 22:14.
This morning I went back on to the Heavens Above website and viewed the predictions for the next 7 days. When I compared the list to the one I printed on the 34rd, all the times were out .. starting at about 5 minutes and finishing with August where the original prediction is 23 minutes before what the website says this morning!
Is this a regular occurence - do they revise the times on a daily basis ?

John

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15 years 9 months ago #71917 by paulevans
Replied by paulevans on topic Re:Heavens Above ISS Predictions
John, it's interesting you should mention this as we've had a similar discussion elsewhere. What we do know is that the ISS orbit decays and it is periodically kicked back up a bit by the Shuttle, so the timings would change. We don't know how H-A accommodates this but like you, we have observed passes being a little later than advertised.

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15 years 9 months ago - 15 years 9 months ago #71926 by michaeloconnell
Replied by michaeloconnell on topic Re:Heavens Above ISS Predictions
IMHO, www.calsky.com is more accurate.
Last edit: 15 years 9 months ago by michaeloconnell.

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15 years 9 months ago #71927 by albertw
Replied by albertw on topic Re:Heavens Above ISS Predictions
paulevans wrote:

John, it's interesting you should mention this as we've had a similar discussion elsewhere. What we do know is that the ISS orbit decays and it is periodically kicked back up a bit by the Shuttle, so the timings would change. We don't know how H-A accommodates this but like you, we have observed passes being a little later than advertised.


I assume it (and all other tools) use this data:
spaceflight.nasa.gov/realdata/sightings/...rbit/ISS/SVPOST.html

That also lists any maneuvers.

Albert White MSc FRAS
Chairperson, International Dark Sky Association - Irish Section
www.darksky.ie/

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